The Subway Series between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets always captivates baseball fans in New York and beyond. As the city buzzes with anticipation, Sunday's game promises an electric atmosphere at Yankee Stadium. This article delivers a comprehensive Yankees vs Mets prediction, breaking down pitching matchups, player performances, and expert takes to help you navigate this high-stakes rivalry.

Yankees vs Mets: Pitching Matchup and Recent Form

Max Fried will take the mound for the Yankees. With a stellar 6-0 record and an MLB-best 1.11 ERA through nine starts, Fried has anchored the Yankees' rotation. He brings plenty of experience, especially against former Yankee Juan Soto, who now wears Mets blue and orange. Fried has held Soto in check—no home runs allowed—though Soto is hitting .333 against him in their matchups. This duel will be a focal point of Sunday night’s game at Yankee Stadium.

The Mets will counter with lefty David Peterson, who has struggled to contain powerful right-handed bats. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees’ assault, already with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs this season. With Peterson allowing a high hard-hit rate, the edge swings towards the Yankees’ offense. Find more matchup details and live updates in the Subway Series 2025 game day coverage on Yahoo Sports.

Key Players to Watch: Aaron Judge and Juan Soto

Aaron Judge stands out as the most dangerous bat in this contest. As highlighted in a DraftKings prop bet analysis, Judge consistently delivers against left-handers like Peterson. He ranks first in MLB on-base percentage and wields a robust .402 average with runners in scoring position. With his prodigious power and the Mets’ pitching vulnerabilities, Judge is a prime candidate to drive in key runs.

On the Mets’ side, Juan Soto remains a focus. While Fried has managed to avoid substantial damage from Soto in the past, Soto’s knack for getting on base and his clutch hitting add intrigue to this superstar duel. Their head-to-head battle could determine which New York team grabs bragging rights.

Expert Yankees vs Mets Prediction and Best Bets

Sunday’s game tilts slightly in favor of the Yankees, driven by Max Fried’s dominance and the power in their lineup. Odds also favor Aaron Judge to notch at least one RBI against David Peterson. If you’re considering betting, the DraftKings preview suggests value in Judge’s RBI prop. Expect a close contest, but edge goes to the Yankees for their pitching advantage.

Want to watch the action live? MLB.TV is offering a free preview during Rivalry Weekend, allowing fans to stream the entire series, including the Yankees vs Mets showdown.

Final Thoughts: Subway Series Showdown

The Yankees vs Mets prediction leans toward a home win for the Yankees, bolstered by an elite pitching performance and timely hitting. However, as with every Subway Series, expect surprises and drama. Tune in, place your best bets, and enjoy one of baseball’s premier rivalries play out under the bright lights of Yankee Stadium.