T.J. Watt continues to be a cornerstone of the Pittsburgh Steelers’ defense. But ahead of the 2025 NFL season, questions loom over his future. Fans want to know if Watt can maintain his elite form or if recent projections spell a shift for the Steelers’ pass rush. Below, we break down everything you need to know about TJ Watt, including his on-field outlook, contract status, and why he remains one of football’s most talked-about stars.

T.J. Watt’s Performance: What Do the Numbers Say?

Even with a reputation as one of the league’s top defenders, recent years have brought scrutiny for T.J. Watt. Following a 2024 campaign where he posted 11.5 sacks—the lowest for a full season since his rookie year—experts are debating whether Watt is headed for a decline. According to ESPN’s Mike Clay, Watt is projected for 10 sacks and 60 tackles next season, suggesting a possible dip in production compared to his prior dominant years.

You can read deeper analysis in the Sports Illustrated article on Watt’s 2025 projections, which discusses Clay’s outlook and what it means for the Steelers. A high double-digit sack total is still impressive by NFL standards, but for a player of Watt’s caliber—who once logged an NFL-leading 22.2 sacks—it would mark a noticeable change.

The Contract Situation: Uncertainty Lingers

Watt’s contract status is fueling offseason headlines. Entering the last year of his deal, Watt’s negotiations have become even more complicated after Myles Garrett’s massive raise reset the pass-rusher market. Pittsburgh’s front office has stated a desire to extend Watt and keep him in black and gold for years to come. Analysts expect the star defender will push to once again become the league’s highest-paid edge rusher—a move that could surpass $40 million per year.

If you’re looking for detailed coverage of contract discussions and other major team stories, check out this Steelers Depot feature on T.J. Watt and George Pickens. It explores how both players’ negotiations could define the Steelers’ offseason.

Spring Storylines: Will Watt Show Up?

The upcoming spring practices are crucial for team chemistry and strategy. However, all eyes will be on Watt’s attendance. As with last offseason, voluntary practices will reveal whether contract negotiations are affecting his participation. A missed minicamp or a social media post can spark major speculation among fans and reporters alike.

Brian Batko, a seasoned Steelers beat writer, noted that Watt’s presence—or absence—at voluntary OTAs will likely dominate headlines this spring. Both he and wide receiver George Pickens will shape the team’s offseason narrative, especially given their current contract statuses.

Can Watt Silence the Doubters?

Despite lower projections, betting against T.J. Watt has never been wise. Throughout his career, he’s thrived under pressure and exceeded expectations. Experts like those at Behind the Steel Curtain remind us that previous doubts have only fueled his drive. Steelers fans hope this offseason chatter will motivate Watt toward another All-Pro campaign in 2025.

Conclusion: What’s Next for T.J. Watt and the Steelers?

As the new NFL season approaches, all signs point to a defining year for TJ Watt. How he responds to projections and manages contract talks will shape not only his legacy but also the future success of the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. For now, one thing remains clear: as long as Watt is wearing the black and gold, he’ll be at the center of every major Steelers conversation.

Stay tuned for more updates on TJ Watt, from training camp developments to the latest contract negotiations, as 2025 unfolds.