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GSW vs Rockets: 2025 Playoff Showdown Preview, Analysis & Betting Trends

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The 2025 NBA playoffs have brought fans another classic matchup: GSW vs Rockets. As the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets go head-to-head in a pivotal series, anticipation is high for basketball fans and sports bettors alike.

GSW vs Rockets 2025 NBA Playoffs action

GSW vs Rockets: Series Overview

Golden State and Houston have a storied rivalry in the Western Conference. Entering Game 5 at the Toyota Center, the Warriors lead the series 3-1 and have an opportunity to close out the Rockets on the road. Houston, however, will rely on their strong home record and passionate crowd to spark a comeback.

Key Stats, Trends, and Storylines

The Rockets finished the regular season at 52-30, with an impressive 29-12 at home. The Warriors posted a 48-34 record, excelling with a 24-17 road mark. Recent games show Houston in a slump, having lost six of their last seven, while Golden State has won five out of seven. This trend favors the Warriors, but playoff pressure can lead to surprises.

According to Yahoo Sports' detailed preview, the Warriors have consistently covered the spread as underdogs. Houston, on the other hand, has posted an 8-2 record in their last ten home games. Historically, recent GSW vs Rockets contests at the Toyota Center tend to be lower scoring, with the last four matchups staying under the total.

Top Players to Watch

  • Stephen Curry (GSW): The perennial All-Star has led the Warriors in scoring and assists, averaging 26 points and 6 assists per game in this series. His ability to shoot from deep and control the offense makes him a constant threat.
  • Jimmy Butler (GSW): A standout in this postseason, Butler put up 27 points in Game 4 and has been crucial late in games.
  • Fred VanVleet (HOU): The Rockets' floor general leads the team in assists and has stepped up his scoring in the last two outings, including an 8-12 performance from beyond the arc.
  • Alperen Sengun (HOU): Dominating in the paint, Sengun is tallying over 22 points and 11 boards per game. He recorded three consecutive double-doubles, giving Houston hope in the interior battle.

Read a deeper breakdown of player matchups and betting angles in this comprehensive CBSSports.com preview.

Expert Odds and Betting Predictions

Oddsmakers have given Houston a slight edge at home as a 4.5-point favorite, with over/under lines set around 204.5 points. However, expert projections at both Yahoo Sports and CBS Sports hint toward a competitive contest. Data models lean toward the Warriors covering the spread but recommend the Rockets on the moneyline. There is also a consensus leaning towards the over, expecting a close, higher-scoring affair.

Trends to keep in mind:

  • Warriors have covered in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • Rockets are 45-40-1 against the spread this season.
  • GSW has a strong record against Western Conference Southwest Division teams.

How to Watch and What to Expect

Game 5 tips off in Houston at 7:30 PM ET and will be televised nationally. Expect a charged atmosphere. Both teams have seasoned playoff performers and tactical coaches who will look for the smallest edge. If Houston can ignite a spark at home and control the glass, this series could shift back to California. Still, Golden State’s mix of experience and momentum may prove too much to overcome.

Conclusion: What’s Next in the GSW vs Rockets Series?

The outcome of this GSW vs Rockets clash will shape the Western Conference playoff path. Warriors fans hope for a series-clinching performance, while Rockets supporters look for a home-court revival. Either way, expect intensity and high-level basketball when these teams share the court.

For up-to-the-minute predictions, odds, and more betting analysis, visit Yahoo Sports and check out deeper statistical breakdowns at CBSSports.com.

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